Dogecoin is trading under low pressure, struggling to build sustained upside momentum due to low bullish sentiment in the entire market. The leading meme coin has had its price action trading around the $0.1 support, with buyers and sellers locked in a tight battle.
However, crypto analyst Cryptollica has shared a chart that suggests that Dogecoin may be setting up for the biggest déjà-vu in history. His analysis points to a recurring pattern that has appeared multiple times since 2014, with the current structure following lows in previous cycles.
The Four-Cycle Pattern
Dogecoin’s weekly timeframe was mapped out from 2014 through early 2026 in the weekly candlestick price chart shared by the analyst. Four separate points were marked with circles labeled 1, 2, 3, and 4. Each of these points corresponds with periods where Dogecoin entered deeply oversold conditions on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), shown in the lower panel of the chart.
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The first circle is projected around 2014-2015, when Dogecoin experienced an extended price decline, and the RSI dipped into oversold territory. That period was followed by a strong recovery and eventually a larger expansion phase. The second marked zone was in 2020, which also coincided with a depressed RSI reading and a horizontal support region on price. Shortly after, Dogecoin launched into its historic 2021 rally.
The third instance is visible around 2022, when the market entered a bear cycle after the previous bull cycle in 2021. Dogecoin once again found support near a similar structure and RSI levels. Now, the fourth circle is projected in early 2026, with the RSI pressing near the low 30 region, close to previous cycle bottoms. Price is also sitting around a horizontal support band that previously acted as support back in late 2024.
Cryptollica’s question, “Coincidence or Math?” is based on the symmetry in these repeating structures. Each time Dogecoin reached comparable oversold conditions on the weekly chart, a significant move followed.
What A History Repeat Could Mean For Dogecoin
Every time Dogecoin’s weekly RSI fell below the 30 level, it led to exhaustion in selling pressure. Following those oversold phases, Dogecoin did not immediately explode upward. Instead, it formed a base before beginning a sustained climb.
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If the fourth marked setup follows previous cycles, the outcome would likely unfold in stages. The first phase would involve stabilization around the current support zone, with volatility gradually compressing between $0.10 and $0.15. This would then be followed by bullish momentum when market conditions finally improve, and capital rotates into meme coins.
Based on this outlook, we could see the Dogecoin price reversing from oversold into normal condition, which in turn would be reflected in its price action, pushing into price levels above $0.2 at least in the short term.
Featured Image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com
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