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Bitcoin is facing critical price levels as it retests key resistance zones, hinting at risks for its ongoing bull market. Historically, when Bitcoin has tested these levels during bullish phases, it has managed to break through, hold its ground, and continue upward. However, current market conditions suggest caution, as the cryptocurrency is encountering key resistance and may experience a slowdown.
The 50% Level: A Crucial Indicator
Bitcoin’s price is currently at $83,000, approximately $10,000 away from the crucial 50% level at $93,000. This level is important because Bitcoin has historically shown strong reactions to it, both during upward and downward movements. The 50% level is particularly important for the current cycle, as it is derived from the price range between the August low and January’s all-time high.
In recent weeks, Bitcoin has experienced sharp price movements, with major swings around the $79,000 level. Despite these fluctuations, the price has managed to hold above this level, suggesting the market is watching for further signs of either a breakout or a breakdown.
Market Sentiment: A Potential Sell-off
While Bitcoin’s short-term outlook may appear bullish due to recent price bounces, there are concerns that if Bitcoin fails to surpass the $93,000 level, it could experience a significant sell-off. This failure would resemble past failed rallies, where market sentiment turned bearish quickly, leading to sharp declines. Investors should be aware that these levels carry risk, and patience will be key in assessing the next move.
CryptoQuant CEO Warns of Bear Market
On-chain indicators are also pointing to a possible shift in Bitcoin’s market cycle. CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju has suggested that Bitcoin’s bull cycle may be over, predicting 6 to 12 months of bearish or sideways price action.
According to him, on-chain metrics such as MVRV, SOPR, and NUPL are signaling a bear market. He added that fresh liquidity is drying up and that new whales are selling Bitcoin at lower prices, which could dampen any bullish momentum.
What’s Next for Bitcoin?
As Bitcoin approaches these crucial levels, it remains to be seen whether it can break through resistance or if it will face another downturn. Investors should monitor the price action closely, particularly around the $93,000 level, as any failure to push past this could signal further challenges for Bitcoin in the coming months.