XRP Lawsuit Could End Soon, Ripple Lawyer Predicts 70% Settlement Chance

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After over four years of legal battle, the Ripple vs SEC case could finally be over. Both parties have recently filed a joint motion to settle. Ripple aims to unlock $125 million from escrow, $50 million would go to the SEC as a civil penalty, and $75 million would return to Ripple. The goal is to wrap it up without more delays or appeals.

Deaton Says SEC Should Have Owned Up

Attorney John Deaton says there is a 70% chance that Judge Analisa Torres will approve the deal. Deaton responded to a comment that accused him and Fred Rispoli of saying Ripple and the SEC should have overly praised Judge Torres in their filing. 

He clarified that he was not expecting any flattery, nor was he strongly criticizing the lawyers involved. Instead, he expected the SEC to acknowledge its past aggressive approach toward crypto, especially given past court rulings calling its actions “arbitrary and capricious” and even sanctioning SEC lawyers in the Debt Box case.

In Ripple’s case, Judge Netburn said the SEC “lacked faithful allegiance to the law.” Deaton expected the filing to mention these issues and highlight upcoming crypto laws like the Clarity Act and Genius Act as reasons to settle and move forward.

Filing Missed Key Points

He also expected Ripple to point out how unfair it would be to face an injunction while the rest of the crypto industry moves toward clarity. He noted that companies like Circle would have an edge, as banks prefer working with firms that are not under a legal cloud.

He said that the filing needed a stronger case to convince the judge to reverse a ruling she firmly believes in, and not just a few cases to justify it. He plans to provide an objective breakdown of both sides in his next update.

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Legal Experts Voice Mixed Views

Attorney Fred Rispoli questioned why the injunction still matters if the SEC can simply grant Ripple a waiver to bypass it. Former SEC official Marc Fagel also raised concerns over the SEC’s latest filing, saying that its focus on elections and policy shifts is not a strong legal argument.

Judge to Grant Motion Anyway?

Bill Morgan commented on the Ripple-SEC joint motion, noting that it doesn’t become more convincing the more you read it. But he thinks that the judge will likely approve the motion anyway.