- Altcoins are showing a strong long bias, with over 70% leaning bullish.
- Is the market bracing for a squeeze or a slide?
Two weeks after tagging its all-time high, Bitcoin [BTC] is back teasing the $105k mark. It is a level that’s become a pressure point for market sentiment. Last time it cracked, BTC slid straight to $100k, and with no confirmed bottom yet, traders are on edge.
Historically, this kind of indecision sparks alt rotations as capital looks for short-term upside outside BTC’s shadow. Yet, while the setup is there, many alts are still stuck in the red, posting double-digit losses every week.
According to AMBCrypto, an altseason isn’t here yet, but with BTC in limbo and market structure thinning out, there might just be enough space for sharp-eyed bulls to start positioning for the next reversal.
Crowded longs hint at imminent market rebalancing
While spot prices remain subdued, the perpetual market is gearing up like something big is coming.
Across the board, over 70% of altcoins are seeing a strong long bias, and on Binance, the big players aren’t holding back. High-cap assets have, on average 60%+ of traders leaning long.
However, this isn’t just random optimism. Instead, it looks more like strategic risk-taking.
Simply put, after last week’s brutal liquidation cascade, traders seem to be betting on a near-term market rebalancing, eyeing a potential short squeeze.
Source: Alphractal
That’s a bold move considering the recent volatility. What if Bitcoin breaks down toward $100k? That’s the scenario short-sellers are likely positioning for, opening the door for late-arriving shorts to press the downside.
Still, if the market holds steady and shrugs off the chop, those late shorts could get squeezed hard. That’s exactly what the bulls seem to be betting on with all this long exposure across alts.
Given the circumstances, it’s a coin flip at this stage, and whichever side plays it smarter will set the tone for the next move.
Market positions for a strategic altcoin rally
With Bitcoin dominance back above 65%, it’s clear that altcoins are still taking their cues from BTC. If Bitcoin heads back down to $100k, chances are alts will follow suit.
The last drawdown proved it. While BTC dropped 9.6% from its ATH, Ethereum [ETH] posted a sharper 10.25% correction.
The reason? – Elevated long exposure across altcoins amplified downside pressure.
Source: TradingView (ETH/USDT)
However, AMBCrypto recently flagged a key structural shift in the current cycle that makes Bitcoin’s full retrace to $100k less probable.
If BTC stabilizes, altcoins could not only stage a relief rally but potentially lead the rebound, especially if a short squeeze accelerates upside momentum.
That’s why this “dip” might not be something to fear. Instead, it could be a smart entry point for those looking to catch the next move early.
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