- Bitcoin’s $100K level turns from milestone to stress point amid fading crypto momentum.
- Analyst Mike McGlone warns “extreme calm” in crypto and stocks may precede volatility.
- Bitcoin’s strong link to Wall Street means stock turbulence could trigger crypto swings.
The cryptocurrency market is facing renewed pressure as Bitcoin struggles to maintain the $100,000 level—a price that once symbolized achievement but now represents uncertainty.
The total market capitalization has fallen to around $3.34 trillion, and key technical indicators suggest weakening momentum across digital assets.
Bitcoin currently trades near $102,405 after dipping below critical support and major moving averages, while Ethereum, Solana, and XRP also continue their downward trend.
A market growing too comfortable
According to Bloomberg’s senior macro strategist Mike McGlone, the $100,000 mark has evolved from a cause for celebration into a potential stress point.
In his latest analysis, McGlone describes the current market behavior as “unnaturally calm.”
Bitcoin, traditionally known for its volatility, has seen reduced movement even as it hovers around a psychologically important level.
McGlone warns that such stillness may not be sustainable.
He characterizes the market’s behavior as “extreme complacency,” noting that both equities and cryptocurrencies appear unusually stable.
His research compares Bitcoin’s 50-week moving trend with volatility measures such as the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) and the S&P 500’s realized volatility.
The findings suggest that both markets are showing a rare degree of calm, something that, historically, precedes sharp fluctuations.
The VIX, often referred to as Wall Street’s “fear gauge,” typically averages around 19 over time.
McGlone predicts that a reversion toward that level could spark simultaneous turbulence in both traditional markets and digital assets.
“Periods of low volatility rarely last,” he cautioned, implying that investors may be underestimating potential risk.
Bitcoin enters “do or die” zone
Bitcoin’s price has repeatedly tested the $100,000 level after failing to sustain rallies beyond $110,000.
McGlone describes this stage as a “do or die” zone for the world’s largest cryptocurrency.
A successful defense of the $100,000 support level could mark the continuation of Bitcoin’s long-term uptrend, but a breakdown may send it closer to its long-term averages near $56,000.
Historically, similar moments have emerged midway through bull markets, when enthusiasm cools and the price corrects back to its trendline—a process analysts call “mean reversion.”
This cycle, McGlone notes, reflects the broader pattern of markets adjusting to their fundamental value after periods of exuberance.
Crypto still tied to Wall Street
Despite its reputation as “digital gold,” Bitcoin’s behavior remains closely linked to traditional financial markets.
The correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 currently stands at around 0.53, suggesting that crypto continues to act like a high-beta tech asset rather than an independent store of value.
This tight relationship implies that volatility in US equities could spill over into digital assets.
For now, Bitcoin’s stability appears more a reflection of broader market calm than independent strength.
As McGlone observes, holding $100,000 is no longer a symbol of maturity but a test of resilience.
The coming weeks may determine whether Bitcoin cements its place as a durable global asset—or reveals that investor optimism has once again run ahead of reality.
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