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Looking at Bitcoin’s price action this year, it’s only up about 13% year-to-date, rising from around $94,000 to $107,000.
According to Altcoin Daily, data from 2013 to 2024 shows that if investors had missed Bitcoin’s top-performing days, the average annual returns would have turned negative.
As Fundstrat’s Tom Lee explains, Bitcoin’s biggest gains typically occur in short, explosive bursts, often during the final quarter of the year. He believes a similar setup is forming again, fueled by multiple catalysts.
The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to begin easing rates, while the government shutdown has driven investors toward risk assets. Additionally, easing tensions between the U.S. and China could further lift market sentiment.
Seasonality trends also favor a broader stock market recovery, which historically benefits Bitcoin. Lee believes Bitcoin could rally aggressively before year-end, potentially even reaching $200,000 if the final 10 “magic days” appear once again.
Market Structure Bill Could Be a Game-Changer
Another major reason for optimism comes from Washington. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong recently revealed that, despite the ongoing government shutdown, the U.S. Senate is about 90% finished with the long-awaited Crypto Market Structure Bill (Clarity Act), one of the most significant pieces of crypto legislation to date.
Armstrong said that both Democrats and Republicans are largely aligned, with only minor disagreements remaining around DeFi regulation and stablecoin rewards. The bill could pass out of committee by Thanksgiving, providing long-term clarity for crypto firms and investors.
He also emphasized the importance of resisting pressure from major banks seeking to restrict stablecoin use, noting that the bill aims to “protect innovation” while ensuring proper regulation of centralized exchanges, not decentralized protocols.
Altcoins Ready to Ride the Wave
If Bitcoin rallies higher, analysts expect strong follow-through in key altcoins. Ethereum is seeing record stablecoin growth, Solana recently gained trading access through Fidelity’s brokerage platform, and BitTensor (TAO) is preparing for its first halving event in December a move that will cut supply, mirroring Bitcoin’s model.
With just a few weeks left in 2025, investors are watching closely. According to Altcoin Daily analysts, if Bitcoin’s “10 best days” pattern holds again, the biggest gains of the year might still be ahead, and missing them could mean missing the market’s largest upside opportunity.