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Trading-desk watchers received a fresh dose of long-term optimism for X on Tuesday after crypto analytics boutique Sistine Research published a multi-year XRP/US Dollar chart pointing to an eventual advance into the $33 to $50 region.
The chart they circulated on X shows that the 2,500-day symmetrical triangle dating back to the January 2018 top actually resolved to the upside in mid-November 2024, when a single, outsized green candle catapulted XRP north. In barely nine trading weeks the token rallied as much as 470%, tagging $3.40 on January 16 before momentum cooled.
Long-Term Target Set At $33–$50 By Sistine Research
Since mid-January the market has been digesting those gains inside a clearly defined, red-boxed band bounded by $3.40 above and $1.96 below (which is the May 2021 high). That range is not arbitrarily drawn: on Sistine’s chart it is the analogue of the 2017 congestion zone that developed immediately after the earlier, 1,169-day triangle was resolved. In that historical example XRP needed six weeks of sideways churn before reigniting; the next impulse carried price almost vertically into its January 2018 peak.
The firm argues that the same fractal is now playing out on a grander scale. The smaller triangle required 1,169 days of compression and unleashed a 322-day advance to the cycle high. The current structure ran for roughly 2,500 days, and the green ‘675 days’ annotation on the chart applies the identical compression/expansion ratio (≈ 0.275) to project the likely duration of the forthcoming trend leg. Counting forward 675 days from the November 2024 breakout pins a provisional climax in early September 2027.
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Price objectives stay unchanged. The conservative target zone, shaded pale green between $33 and $50, is derived from measuring the vertical depth of the triangle and applying the same percentage over-run that occurred in 2017. Sistine notes that if the pattern is treated as the handle portion of an extensive cup-and-handle formation, harmonic extension levels cluster between $77 and $100, though those numbers are treated as tail-risk possibilities rather than the base case.
“If you’re willing to measure as a cup and handle, targets could be as high as $77 to $100. […] The last symmetric triangle from 2017 over performed measured targets by quite a lot. This one is a much larger pattern,” the firm states.
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Technically, the structure remains intact as long as weekly closes hold above the triangle’s former down-trend line—now rising support near $0.80—and above the horizontal pivot at $1.96. A decisive push through $3.40 would, in Sistine’s view, confirm the range-break and open the door to a second vertical acceleration. Failure, conversely, would postpone rather than cancel the timeline, because the breakout pivot lies well beneath current trade and has not yet been retested even once.
With the chart arguing that time, rather than additional pattern-building, is now the dominant variable, Sistine’s thesis boils down to a simple equation: maintain the mid-November breakout, allow the 675-day clock to run, and history implies an exponential melt-up culminating around the end of the third quarter of 2027.
At press time, XRP traded at $2.22.
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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