Siren [SIREN] exhibited high volatility last week. A rally beyond $2 on the 16th of April was followed by a bearish engulfing candle pattern that took SIREN prices back below $0.762.
AMBCrypto had reported that the loss of the $0.64 level would increase the downside risk. After the bout of volatility, SIREN has consolidated around the $0.762 level, but this level continued to serve as resistance.
Will the BNB Chain memecoin fulfill its potential of a 16%-40% rally? The rejection from $2 was not the only clue to indicate why further gains could be difficult.
Assessing the SIREN structure and the conflicting volume indicators
The March rally beyond $4 set a swing low at $0.225. The wild volatility of the memecoin saw this swing low breached in early April. The subsequent rally to $2.25 by the 17th of April was, structurally, a retracement before the downward move continued lower.
A more aggressive reading of the structure would claim the $0.412 low was the swing low, which, when breached, shifted the structure bearishly.
In either case, the 1-day chart was bearish at press time. The $0.762 local resistance, which had been a support toward the end of March, was resistance once more. The OBV was still in an uptrend, despite the break of the swing low.
This suggested selling pressure might be weak, but other volume indicators disagreed. The A/D indicator has been in a steady slump since March, indicating a lack of sustained buying pressure to support the earlier rally.
Similarly, the CMF also did not point to sustained capital flows into the SIREN market.
The price volatility and volume trends differed considerably from large-cap coins and Bitcoin [BTC], cementing memecoins’ notoriety for volatility and emphasis on short-term sentiment.
Traders’ call to action – Watch the short-term range
The 1-hour chart showed a bearish structure but also a few days of radio silence from both bulls and bears. The trading volume was relatively low, reflecting the lack of hype in the market.
The volume indicators were unanimously bearish on this timeframe, but the local range was the most interesting aspect.
The $0.51 and $0.90 levels marked the short-term swing points. There was also the $0.762 resistance to keep an eye on. A move beyond either level could set up a short-term trend in that direction, with the bearish side being the more likely scenario.
Final Summary
- Volume indicators on the 1-day timeframe were not wholly in agreement on SIREN’s buy/sell pressure.
- The higher and lower timeframes’ price action signaled the bears were controlling the market.
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